Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +210 MCN -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +19 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -1.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -1.4 (-20.4) | 138.1 (+4.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -1.5 (-20.5) | 136.6 (+6.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -1.3 (-20.3) | 138.1 (+4.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.0 (-19.0) | 139.0 (+4.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | MCN 64 – 63 LAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MCN 82 – 70 LAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MCN 63 – 54 LAM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MCN 68 – 66 LAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MCN 75 – 64 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-9 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#353) | -12.0 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.10 (#357) | -2.55 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.46 (#357) | -4.20 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.331 (#359) | 0.439 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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