Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -1000 RGV +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +6 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -16.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -11.8 (-5.8) | 158.8 (+23.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -11.2 (-5.2) | 160.4 (+21.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -11.4 (-5.4) | 162.8 (+19.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -10.7 (-4.7) | 161.9 (+20.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | RGV 95 – 72 SUU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | RGV 78 – 73 SUU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SUU 68 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 4, 2024 | SUU 79 – 59 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#114) | -8.3 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#144) | -0.29 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#145) | -0.81 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#130) | 0.507 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 35.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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