Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -150 GASO +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -2.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -1.0 (-10.0) | 133.5 (+3.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -2.8 (-11.8) | 132.3 (+4.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -1.6 (-10.6) | 132.9 (+4.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -1.1 (-10.1) | 132.9 (+4.1) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#277) | -3.9 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#135) | -0.50 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#161) | -0.39 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#105) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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