Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | DETM -300 MILW +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -7.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -6.6 (-9.6) | 146.8 (+18.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -6.6 (-9.6) | 145.1 (+19.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -5.3 (-8.3) | 147.4 (+17.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -5.0 (-8.0) | 148.0 (+17.0) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#178) | -3.6 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#166) | -0.68 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#152) | -1.08 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.463 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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