Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +1000 NKU -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +13 | 97 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -9.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-31.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -9.0 (-4.0) | 127.9 (-30.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -8.3 (-4.7) | 125.8 (-28.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -8.7 (-4.3) | 130.5 (-33.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -8.0 (-5.0) | 129.2 (-32.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -16.9 (#360) | -3.2 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.04 (#354) | -0.15 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.70 (#351) | -0.17 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.325 (#361) | 0.487 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.54 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.