Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SBU +110 MASS -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -0.4 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -2.4 (+16.6) | 134.1 (+12.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -0.1 (+18.9) | 134.1 (+12.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.3 (+18.7) | 134.5 (+12.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -0.4 (+18.6) | 134.1 (+12.9) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | SBU 73 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SBU 73 – 59 MASS |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SBU 75 – 67 MASS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | SBU 79 – 73 MASS |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MASS 71 – 60 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#188) | 3.3 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#226) | 1.53 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#204) | 1.59 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#266) | 0.569 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.