Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -125 SBU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +14 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -1.7 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -0.1 (-13.9) | 137.7 (-5.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -0.5 (-13.5) | 136.6 (-4.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.8 (-13.2) | 137.1 (-5.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -0.8 (-13.2) | 138.8 (-6.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | SBU 73 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SBU 75 – 67 MASS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | SBU 79 – 73 MASS |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MASS 71 – 60 SBU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SBU 83 – 64 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#172) | 4.1 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#208) | 0.81 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#194) | 1.13 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#214) | 0.548 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.