Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -320 MASS +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -9.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -7.9 (-6.9) | 139.4 (+5.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -8.3 (-7.3) | 135.1 (+9.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -9.6 (-8.6) | 137.4 (+7.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -9.5 (-8.5) | 139.1 (+5.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | SBU 73 – 59 MASS |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SBU 75 – 67 MASS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | SBU 79 – 73 MASS |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MASS 71 – 60 SBU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SBU 83 – 64 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#100) | -2.1 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#102) | -0.46 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#95) | -0.48 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#87) | 0.478 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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