Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -3.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -2.1 (+8.9) | 138.4 (-7.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -2.9 (+8.1) | 139.9 (-8.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -2.7 (+8.3) | 141.8 (-10.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -2.6 (+8.4) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | SBU 73 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SBU 73 – 59 MASS |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SBU 75 – 67 MASS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | SBU 79 – 73 MASS |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SBU 83 – 64 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#187) | -0.7 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#170) | -0.21 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#169) | -0.16 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#162) | 0.493 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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