Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | MASS -205 SBU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -3.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -3.3 (-11.3) | 142.2 (-0.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.0 (-12.0) | 146.4 (-4.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.1 (-12.1) | 147.3 (-5.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.1 (-12.1) | 146.7 (-4.7) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2025 | SBU 73 – 72 MASS |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SBU 73 – 59 MASS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | SBU 79 – 73 MASS |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MASS 71 – 60 SBU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SBU 83 – 64 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#77) | 7.1 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#105) | 0.89 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#95) | 1.01 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#73) | 0.549 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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