Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | OU +125 TEX -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -2.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -2.1 (+1.1) | 139.1 (-0.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -1.3 (+0.3) | 136.8 (+2.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -1.2 (+0.2) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -0.7 (-0.3) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 17-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#56) | 16.5 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#49) | 2.46 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#35) | 3.46 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#53) | 0.595 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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