That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Wyoming Cowboys
75 – 76
FINAL Conference
New Mexico Lobos
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · December 31, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UNM -2.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money WYO +110 / UNM -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual UNM +1 151 Lost
Massey UNM -8.9 (+7.9) — —
Massey Totals — 147.9 (+3.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 2% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNM -6.9 (+5.9) 149.6 (+1.4) 20% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNM -5.5 (+4.5) 147.6 (+3.4) 28% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNM -7.9 (+6.9) 146.9 (+4.1) 20% ✓
Baseline ML UNM -7.3 (+6.3) 148.8 (+2.2) 24% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 UNM 78 – 58 WYO
Feb 13, 2025 UNM 71 – 67 WYO
Jan 8, 2025 UNM 61 – 53 WYO
Feb 7, 2024 UNM 91 – 73 WYO
Jan 7, 2024 UNM 77 – 60 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO UNM
Overall 9-22 22-12
Conference 4-14 8-10
Home 7-8 15-5
Away 1-8 5-6
Neutral 1-6 2-1
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 68.1 80.2
Avg Pts Against 72.2 74.6
Massey -1.2 (#194) 12.3 (#23)
Bradley-Terry -1.10 (#279) 3.88 (#5)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.09 (#257) 5.39 (#3)
RPI 0.436 (#289) 0.627 (#20)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO UNM
FG% 44.0% 48.8%
3PT% 33.0% 37.1%
REB / G 32.7 39.2
OREB / G 8.3 10.2
AST / TO 0.94 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 54.0%
TOV% 18.5% 16.1%
ORB% 26.0% 30.5%
FT Rate 24.3% 33.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 19.8%
DRB% 74.7% 74.8%
Opp FT Rate 17.8% 18.2%

Game Analysis

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