Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +130 TNTC -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +18 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -1.4 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -1.5 (+16.5) | 140.2 (+5.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.7 (+15.3) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -1.7 (+16.3) | 138.9 (+7.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.9 (+17.1) | 138.9 (+7.1) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNTC 72 – 57 LIN |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIN 89 – 68 TNTC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIN 76 – 74 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2024 | TNTC 79 – 73 LIN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TNTC 62 – 53 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#342) | -8.0 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#341) | -2.94 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#338) | -3.90 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#348) | 0.379 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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