Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -455 TNTC +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +21 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -10.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -8.5 (+12.5) | 144.0 (+13.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -8.9 (+12.1) | 144.2 (+12.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -8.8 (+12.2) | 141.2 (+15.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -8.9 (+12.1) | 140.7 (+16.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNTC 72 – 57 LIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIN 76 – 74 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2024 | TNTC 79 – 73 LIN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TNTC 62 – 53 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2023 | TNTC 77 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#236) | -11.8 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#223) | -1.97 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#228) | -2.60 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#225) | 0.413 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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