Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC +110 LIN -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -1.8 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.0 (+15.0) | 147.2 (-18.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -0.1 (+15.1) | 146.1 (-17.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.1 (+14.9) | 144.5 (-15.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.0 (+15.0) | 145.9 (-16.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIN 89 – 68 TNTC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIN 76 – 74 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2024 | TNTC 79 – 73 LIN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TNTC 62 – 53 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2023 | TNTC 77 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#312) | -5.6 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#312) | -0.68 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#313) | -1.19 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#282) | 0.484 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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