Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -275 LIN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -7.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -5.2 (+3.8) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -4.4 (+4.6) | 141.5 (+3.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -5.0 (+4.0) | 141.2 (+3.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -5.2 (+3.8) | 142.5 (+2.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNTC 72 – 57 LIN |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIN 89 – 68 TNTC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIN 76 – 74 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2024 | TNTC 79 – 73 LIN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TNTC 62 – 53 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#294) | -11.1 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#293) | -2.00 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#292) | -2.32 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#287) | 0.400 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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