Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -155 TNTC +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -2.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -1.1 (-7.1) | 143.5 (+8.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -2.3 (-8.3) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -1.9 (-7.9) | 142.3 (+9.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -1.6 (-7.6) | 142.8 (+9.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNTC 72 – 57 LIN |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIN 89 – 68 TNTC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIN 76 – 74 TNTC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TNTC 62 – 53 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2023 | TNTC 77 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#311) | -7.2 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#283) | -1.29 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#309) | -2.07 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#255) | 0.455 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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