Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | LIN +100 TNTC +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +9 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | LIN -1.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -0.7 (-9.7) | 133.5 (-18.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -1.3 (-10.3) | 133.9 (-18.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -0.5 (-9.5) | 132.9 (-17.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -0.0 (-9.0) | 134.9 (-19.9) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNTC 72 – 57 LIN |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIN 89 – 68 TNTC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LIN 76 – 74 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2024 | TNTC 79 – 73 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2023 | TNTC 77 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 4-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#347) | -12.7 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#345) | -2.26 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#344) | -2.77 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#350) | 0.407 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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