See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
Ohio Valley Conference · Hyland Arena · February 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LIN -1.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money LIN +100 / TNTC +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual TNTC +9 115 Lost
Massey LIN -1.7 (-10.7) — —
Massey Totals — 136.0 (-21.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 60% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LIN -0.0 (-9.0) 134.9 (-19.9) 47% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LIN -0.7 (-9.7) 133.5 (-18.5) 39% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LIN -1.3 (-10.3) 133.9 (-18.9) 50% ✗
Baseline ML LIN -0.5 (-9.5) 132.9 (-17.9) 46% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 TNTC 72 – 57 LIN
Jan 23, 2026 LIN 89 – 68 TNTC
Mar 1, 2025 LIN 76 – 74 TNTC
Dec 20, 2024 TNTC 79 – 73 LIN
Feb 17, 2023 TNTC 77 – 68 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN TNTC
Overall 9-22 10-21
Conference 3-15 5-13
Home 4-10 7-8
Away 3-12 3-13
Neutral 2-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 63.4 64.9
Avg Pts Against 74.9 73.7
Massey -14.3 (#347) -12.7 (#339)
Bradley-Terry -2.39 (#345) -2.26 (#340)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.02 (#344) -2.77 (#338)
RPI 0.380 (#350) 0.407 (#327)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN TNTC
FG% 39.3% 43.7%
3PT% 28.3% 31.2%
REB / G 30.7 29.2
OREB / G 8.5 5.9
AST / TO 0.59 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.5% 48.9%
TOV% 18.0% 17.4%
ORB% 24.2% 17.9%
FT Rate 29.3% 23.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.3% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 15.5%
DRB% 70.3% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 30.2% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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