Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -195 LIN +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -5.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -4.2 (-6.2) | 150.3 (-0.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -4.1 (-6.1) | 145.1 (+4.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -3.9 (-5.9) | 147.4 (+2.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -4.5 (-6.5) | 147.6 (+2.4) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNTC 72 – 57 LIN |
| Jan 23, 2026 | LIN 89 – 68 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2024 | TNTC 79 – 73 LIN |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TNTC 62 – 53 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2023 | TNTC 77 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#292) | -10.5 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#276) | -1.44 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#296) | -2.44 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#253) | 0.448 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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