You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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81–38 on winners spread MAE 9.1 119 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Xavier @ Butler -4.9 146.5 38% 67–69 ✗
Marist @ Saint Peter's +2.2 128.4 57% 56–67 ✓
Fairfield @ Rider +6.3 131.7 77% 57–58 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Niagara -2.3 135.3 42% 73–79 ✗
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's -2.8 131.8 38% 72–65 ✓
Iona @ Canisius -11.2 145.4 19% 80–59 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +9.5 138.4 82% 65–69 ✓
Youngstown State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -2.5 151.8 40% 81–72 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State +5.0 136.0 72% 55–57 ✓
Akron @ Ohio -0.5 147.2 45% 81–90 ✗
Saint Louis @ Dayton +5.4 141.9 71% 56–70 ✓
New Mexico @ Air Force -7.0 142.7 27% 77–89 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State +4.1 143.7 70% 65–83 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +12.3 135.5 87% 66–77 ✓
West Virginia @ Texas +6.2 153.5 73% 60–94 ✓
Marquette @ Georgetown -11.8 151.7 15% 89–75 ✓
Providence @ St. John's -2.4 155.9 39% 68–73 ✗
NC State @ Boston College -5.9 145.1 29% 92–62 ✓
Colgate @ Bucknell -6.8 142.9 22% 76–56 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Florida State -6.4 148.8 27% 83–75 ✓
Penn State @ Maryland +7.3 136.2 81% 68–74 ✓
Kentucky @ Georgia -4.5 142.7 35% 68–75 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne +6.7 139.1 78% 54–56 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma -2.1 144.8 42% 78–55 ✓
Boston University @ Lafayette +3.2 129.0 62% 65–69 ✓
Bryant @ UMBC -0.4 154.7 50% 73–76 ✗
South Carolina @ Ole Miss +10.4 139.5 83% 64–61 ✗
George Washington @ Saint Joseph's +4.8 157.8 76% 69–81 ✓
Long Island University @ Wagner +12.3 133.6 87% 46–58 ✓
Bellarmine @ Queens University +4.9 143.1 74% 88–84 ✗
Army @ Navy +5.0 140.7 74% 53–70 ✓
UConn @ Creighton +2.2 146.2 67% 53–56 ✓
Rutgers @ Illinois +2.5 132.9 67% 60–69 ✓
Holy Cross @ American University +8.4 132.6 80% 74–66 ✗
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -3.5 150.0 33% 80–62 ✓
UIC @ Belmont +9.9 144.5 84% 71–98 ✓
Murray State @ Bradley +12.9 142.5 88% 48–83 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida Atlantic +12.1 142.9 87% 85–90 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame -6.0 149.0 31% 93–87 ✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton +5.7 138.9 72% 66–80 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +1.5 142.0 55% 80–72 ✗
Princeton @ Dartmouth -6.9 146.2 27% 76–83 ✗
Cornell @ Brown -1.2 157.8 47% 66–80 ✗
Rhode Island @ George Mason +5.6 135.6 73% 67–75 ✓
Massachusetts @ La Salle +1.0 144.6 54% 72–86 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian -8.1 139.7 21% 76–72 ✓
Campbell @ Gardner-Webb +7.0 130.7 80% 73–77 ✓
Western Carolina @ Furman +12.7 155.0 87% 59–93 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ball State +8.7 150.2 83% 72–93 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Stonehill +4.4 129.8 66% 51–62 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia State -9.6 148.5 21% 88–77 ✓
James Madison @ Coastal Carolina -9.6 150.4 19% 73–66 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota +3.7 149.8 70% 73–76 ✓
Denver @ North Dakota State +5.7 147.5 79% 70–78 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Stony Brook -0.1 137.5 48% 59–69 ✗
William & Mary @ Elon +1.4 140.4 62% 55–66 ✓
Towson @ Drexel -0.2 133.2 43% 66–73 ✗
Hofstra @ Monmouth -11.7 139.7 14% 86–57 ✓
Stetson @ North Florida -2.3 152.5 41% 81–92 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Drake +6.5 133.8 74% 59–82 ✓
Alabama @ Auburn -3.7 151.7 36% 77–69 ✓
Clemson @ North Carolina +5.7 145.2 75% 71–91 ✓
Fordham @ Davidson +1.6 141.8 54% 73–71 ✗
The Citadel @ Samford +11.3 151.1 86% 70–76 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern +6.1 132.2 75% 53–68 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Western Illinois -14.0 154.9 14% 82–73 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +7.6 138.7 79% 88–80 ✗
Mercer @ Chattanooga +3.9 142.4 70% 56–73 ✓
Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) +3.0 142.3 62% 66–60 ✗
UL Monroe @ Southern Miss +14.9 136.8 87% 67–76 ✓
Baylor @ TCU +1.6 149.1 60% 72–68 ✗
UNLV @ San Diego State +8.0 142.5 81% 71–82 ✓
Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +4.3 139.0 64% 74–71 ✗
Howard @ Delaware State -4.2 144.8 26% 86–85 ✓
Coppin State @ South Carolina State +1.4 166.6 58% 84–94 ✓
Maine @ NJIT -1.7 139.5 41% 50–65 ✗
UTEP @ UTSA -3.7 135.4 32% 77–66 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UAB +7.6 152.6 78% 69–92 ✓
Norfolk State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +0.6 144.3 51% 76–73 ✗
Wisconsin @ Nebraska -0.7 131.5 44% 63–73 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Richmond +8.5 142.7 80% 71–74 ✓
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois +5.7 150.4 76% 53–81 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Francis +1.5 135.3 44% 75–68 ✗
Charleston @ Hampton -14.0 152.7 12% 83–70 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge +0.2 125.1 52% 53–64 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Arizona +2.9 152.8 62% 88–87 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville +0.6 134.5 49% 62–51 ✗
Duke @ Virginia +5.1 130.3 71% 62–69 ✓
Jackson State @ Florida A&M -2.0 135.0 35% 69–58 ✓
Morgan State @ North Carolina Central +5.2 140.4 72% 63–83 ✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +13.5 148.7 88% 52–61 ✓
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana +1.2 154.2 60% 88–77 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Northwestern State +9.7 146.2 86% 64–72 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +2.7 150.2 62% 53–67 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +10.5 141.2 85% 84–73 ✗
Little Rock @ UT Martin +4.9 158.1 77% 61–84 ✓
Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas +1.2 147.9 57% 69–76 ✓
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman -3.3 142.5 37% 76–74 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest +11.5 147.2 87% 70–71 ✓
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans -1.6 146.1 33% 79–78 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Winthrop +4.1 141.8 68% 79–70 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.7 149.0 65% 77–73 ✗
Louisiana @ Troy +0.1 145.7 50% 65–80 ✓
Old Dominion @ Texas State +0.1 131.5 43% 70–68 ✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State +2.5 144.9 61% 65–59 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State +9.1 140.0 83% 71–74 ✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +5.2 150.4 62% 84–78 ✗
Texas Southern @ Grambling +8.6 138.2 81% 46–65 ✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern -2.4 138.6 40% 90–71 ✓
Missouri @ Tennessee +11.2 144.6 82% 86–85 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State +5.5 134.2 67% 64–56 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Portland -10.0 137.4 16% 81–64 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan -0.3 145.9 53% 62–61 ✓
USC @ Oregon State -8.0 132.4 26% 58–61 ✗
Charlotte @ North Texas +6.7 123.0 78% 43–67 ✓
Mississippi State @ Arkansas +5.4 131.6 67% 70–64 ✗
App State @ South Alabama +3.4 130.0 68% 57–74 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +3.9 138.9 70% 65–79 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -4.5 153.5 30% 73–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.