Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
84–36 on winners spread MAE 8.2 120 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Maryland -7.1 144.8 23% 65–81 ✗
Evansville @ Illinois State +7.4 143.1 76% 56–94 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +4.4 136.8 68% 67–68 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +1.4 137.9 58% 59–98 ✓
Bryant @ Merrimack -2.0 136.1 37% 79–63 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University -4.7 144.2 32% 92–85 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.2 136.5 33% 80–78 ✓
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State +6.1 143.9 74% 61–64 ✓
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +6.1 141.0 75% 62–86 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne -3.4 137.1 35% 64–56 ✓
Rider @ Canisius +3.6 142.5 66% 69–70 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Niagara +2.9 128.2 54% 74–68 ✗
Siena @ Manhattan +2.5 140.9 64% 68–75 ✓
Kent State @ Buffalo +6.6 140.9 67% 51–64 ✓
Michigan State @ Wisconsin +4.1 139.6 69% 86–74 ✗
Fresno State @ Nevada -2.9 135.4 40% 73–77 ✗
Syracuse @ Duke +11.6 155.8 86% 59–79 ✓
Villanova @ Georgetown -13.6 141.5 15% 85–74 ✓
West Virginia @ Texas Tech +9.6 131.0 82% 65–78 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's -2.0 154.0 42% 66–60 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Boston College -5.5 126.0 32% 63–68 ✗
UMBC @ Maine -10.4 135.0 17% 88–46 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ IU Indianapolis -11.7 118.1 12% 60–41 ✓
Hofstra @ Northeastern -4.1 140.4 34% 72–50 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +4.5 131.4 65% 65–68 ✓
George Washington @ Rhode Island +14.5 135.4 86% 63–61 ✗
Kentucky @ Auburn +4.0 148.9 75% 71–80 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University +9.5 136.5 84% 74–80 ✓
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +3.6 126.6 70% 61–67 ✓
Oakland @ Green Bay -10.6 139.1 18% 68–61 ✓
Valparaiso @ Indiana State +4.1 141.6 69% 75–73 ✗
Chattanooga @ VMI -3.6 146.2 27% 78–74 ✓
Elon @ Delaware +7.4 141.9 82% 77–80 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Florida +7.7 137.2 78% 42–61 ✓
Army @ Navy +9.3 131.4 78% 74–73 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Texas +7.8 124.0 78% 51–56 ✓
Bucknell @ Holy Cross -0.6 140.4 47% 68–65 ✓
Tulane @ UCF +7.5 142.4 80% 66–68 ✓
American University @ Loyola Maryland +8.8 133.4 83% 73–78 ✓
Southern Miss @ Middle Tennessee +14.4 137.8 89% 60–74 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Radford +0.6 136.8 51% 78–74 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +5.5 141.2 76% 62–64 ✓
Florida State @ Miami +1.0 145.8 53% 61–60 ✗
Princeton @ Dartmouth -1.9 141.7 42% 84–80 ✓
Harvard @ Cornell +0.3 151.7 50% 61–76 ✓
Brown @ Columbia -8.5 140.5 18% 93–74 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State -1.7 139.1 44% 72–68 ✓
Davidson @ Fordham -6.9 137.2 27% 69–66 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Towson +10.1 136.5 81% 81–77 ✗
William & Mary @ Drexel +13.7 143.2 86% 83–75 ✗
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan -6.2 151.9 26% 82–75 ✓
Colorado State @ Air Force -11.0 126.6 17% 73–53 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Lipscomb -1.4 150.3 43% 73–77 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +9.9 132.9 83% 54–70 ✓
Baylor @ Oklahoma -3.3 133.6 28% 65–51 ✓
Alcorn State @ Florida A&M -1.1 133.3 39% 68–70 ✗
Charlotte @ Rice +4.9 148.6 66% 67–64 ✗
New Mexico State @ Stephen F. Austin +0.8 138.3 59% 72–58 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Sam Houston -2.5 128.9 50% 56–58 ✗
Longwood @ Presbyterian -4.7 131.6 28% 71–70 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Milwaukee -1.3 140.2 39% 71–58 ✓
Texas State @ Arkansas State -0.3 133.6 52% 60–67 ✗
UT Arlington @ Little Rock -1.7 137.4 42% 96–98 ✗
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -4.9 144.9 27% 68–56 ✓
App State @ Georgia Southern -1.5 128.1 43% 70–62 ✓
South Dakota State @ Western Illinois -3.6 158.1 31% 93–75 ✓
San José State @ UNLV +11.5 140.0 88% 62–70 ✓
Missouri State @ Loyola Chicago +9.0 140.5 79% 79–69 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Grambling +10.3 150.3 86% 64–68 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +9.6 144.5 84% 82–85 ✓
Georgia @ South Carolina +8.3 143.9 80% 66–83 ✓
Kansas @ Kansas State -5.8 136.9 26% 78–75 ✓
TCU @ Iowa State +3.9 127.7 55% 59–44 ✗
Jackson State @ Bethune-Cookman -2.1 123.7 45% 50–55 ✗
Howard @ Morgan State -5.5 148.3 29% 91–82 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Nicholls +8.2 153.5 78% 101–93 ✗
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -3.3 136.1 36% 67–73 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State +11.9 138.4 87% 74–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee State -0.6 139.9 39% 61–65 ✗
South Carolina State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +8.6 143.7 78% 69–60 ✗
UAB @ Louisiana Tech +1.0 142.9 59% 83–76 ✗
Marshall @ Florida Atlantic +7.1 151.3 75% 60–71 ✓
Montana @ Northern Arizona -4.5 134.4 29% 58–48 ✓
Idaho State @ Southern Utah +15.5 138.8 90% 74–86 ✓
Lamar @ Utah Valley +15.1 134.0 89% 41–58 ✓
California Baptist @ Abilene Christian +8.1 142.3 81% 68–77 ✓
High Point @ Hampton -0.4 132.9 48% 64–68 ✗
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate +9.7 145.6 85% 57–70 ✓
Notre Dame @ Louisville +0.9 137.2 50% 82–70 ✗
Virginia @ NC State +0.9 132.3 48% 63–77 ✓
Yale @ Pennsylvania -0.6 145.9 44% 68–76 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville State +8.4 148.3 79% 71–79 ✓
Omaha @ Denver +8.8 149.0 82% 63–94 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +7.9 155.0 75% 75–73 ✗
Charleston @ James Madison +0.9 156.1 56% 94–95 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +10.2 135.9 83% 60–78 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois -8.2 141.9 16% 87–58 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State -11.0 131.2 16% 73–49 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +11.8 138.0 84% 77–71 ✗
Stetson @ North Alabama +2.9 135.7 54% 67–65 ✗
Richmond @ La Salle -4.3 143.2 34% 64–56 ✓
Penn State @ Iowa +10.5 140.2 82% 51–68 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho -0.4 148.7 46% 72–73 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Eastern Washington +2.3 156.2 60% 87–83 ✗
Northwestern State @ LSU New Orleans +9.3 154.8 83% 77–85 ✓
McNeese @ Incarnate Word -3.8 143.4 34% 82–72 ✓
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T -0.5 128.3 45% 73–72 ✓
Samford @ UNC Greensboro +5.8 133.3 77% 58–61 ✓
Western Carolina @ Mercer +8.7 148.1 81% 64–72 ✓
DePaul @ Creighton +8.5 146.4 76% 47–60 ✓
East Carolina @ Houston +20.1 140.8 90% 36–79 ✓
LSU @ Tennessee +3.3 132.8 77% 50–64 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +7.6 146.9 78% 77–84 ✓
Old Dominion @ North Texas +11.7 122.0 86% 56–69 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Clemson +10.0 129.3 82% 48–75 ✓
Drake @ Northern Iowa +1.3 144.2 54% 82–74 ✗
Missouri @ Alabama +14.8 152.3 89% 76–86 ✓
USC @ Utah -4.2 138.8 32% 79–67 ✓
Alabama State @ Prairie View A&M +2.2 149.9 63% 67–70 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern +12.5 140.4 87% 51–99 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.