Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +3 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -11.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -9.6 (-6.6) | 144.5 (+22.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -8.8 (-5.8) | 145.4 (+21.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -8.4 (-5.4) | 146.3 (+20.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -9.1 (-6.1) | 145.3 (+21.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | M-OH 85 – 61 NIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | M-OH 87 – 58 NIU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 69 NIU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIU 62 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 18, 2023 | M-OH 66 – 65 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-8 | 3-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#175) | -8.8 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#228) | -0.63 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#211) | -0.95 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#259) | 0.472 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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