Betting Lines
| Spread | NIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NIU -188 M-OH +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | NIU -7.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -5.0 (-6.0) | 146.2 (-15.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -6.8 (-7.8) | 148.7 (-17.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -6.7 (-7.7) | 150.3 (-19.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -6.4 (-7.4) | 149.3 (-18.3) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | M-OH 85 – 61 NIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | M-OH 87 – 58 NIU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 69 NIU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIU 62 – 59 M-OH |
| Jan 18, 2023 | NIU 81 – 77 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-9 |
| Away | 7-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#240) | -8.2 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#239) | -2.18 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#240) | -2.43 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#224) | 0.403 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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