Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -1400 NIU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +29 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -16.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -13.4 (+15.6) | 152.4 (-7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -13.2 (+15.8) | 152.0 (-7.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -13.9 (+15.1) | 149.2 (-4.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -13.1 (+15.9) | 150.2 (-5.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | M-OH 85 – 61 NIU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 69 NIU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIU 62 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 18, 2023 | M-OH 66 – 65 NIU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | NIU 81 – 77 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#171) | -14.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#114) | -2.97 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#141) | -3.31 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#101) | 0.370 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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