Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | NIU +475 M-OH -750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +15 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -14.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -12.4 (-2.6) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -13.6 (-1.4) | 148.5 (+4.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -13.2 (-1.8) | 150.5 (+2.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -12.9 (-2.1) | 149.1 (+3.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | M-OH 85 – 61 NIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | M-OH 87 – 58 NIU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIU 62 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 18, 2023 | M-OH 66 – 65 NIU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | NIU 81 – 77 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-10 | 15-1 |
| Away | 1-15 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -17.7 (#361) | 0.8 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#345) | 0.41 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#343) | 0.28 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#347) | 0.507 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 17.1% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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