Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -225 NIU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +3 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -6.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-33.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -3.5 (-6.5) | 147.9 (-26.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -4.4 (-7.4) | 147.3 (-26.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -4.4 (-7.4) | 149.0 (-28.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -4.2 (-7.2) | 149.6 (-28.6) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | M-OH 85 – 61 NIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | M-OH 87 – 58 NIU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 69 NIU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | M-OH 66 – 65 NIU |
| Jan 18, 2023 | NIU 81 – 77 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#236) | -6.7 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#203) | -1.01 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#245) | -1.15 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#197) | 0.463 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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