Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | UNI -160 DRKE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +8 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -3.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -1.3 (-9.3) | 144.2 (+11.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -3.5 (-11.5) | 146.4 (+9.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -3.6 (-11.6) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -3.3 (-11.3) | 146.0 (+10.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNI 75 – 53 DRKE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 9-5 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-6 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#99) | 5.4 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#164) | 0.39 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#159) | 0.27 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#139) | 0.512 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 82.9% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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