Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +4 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -0.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -0.7 (+4.7) | 133.0 (-1.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -0.1 (+3.9) | 131.2 (+0.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -0.1 (+4.1) | 130.2 (+1.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -0.4 (+4.4) | 132.9 (-0.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | HPU 76 – 73 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2022 | HPU 84 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 26, 2022 | HPU 88 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 8, 2021 | HAMP 76 – 71 HPU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | HPU 72 – 58 HAMP |
Game Analysis
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