Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -6.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -5.4 (+1.6) | 139.2 (+21.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -5.2 (+1.8) | 138.3 (+22.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -5.1 (+1.9) | 140.2 (+20.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -5.1 (+1.9) | 140.0 (+21.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | HPU 76 – 73 HAMP |
| Feb 26, 2022 | HPU 88 – 77 HAMP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | HAMP 68 – 64 HPU |
| Feb 8, 2021 | HAMP 76 – 71 HPU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | HPU 72 – 58 HAMP |
Game Analysis
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