Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +140 HPU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -0.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -1.8 (+6.8) | 136.4 (+10.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -1.1 (+6.1) | 137.2 (+9.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -0.5 (+5.5) | 137.4 (+9.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -0.8 (+5.8) | 137.9 (+9.1) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | HPU 76 – 73 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2022 | HPU 84 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 26, 2022 | HPU 88 – 77 HAMP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | HAMP 68 – 64 HPU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | HPU 72 – 58 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#290) | -4.8 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#294) | -1.42 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#307) | -1.79 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#295) | 0.446 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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