Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -700 HAMP +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -2.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -4.5 (-1.5) | 129.7 (+19.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -2.3 (+0.7) | 130.6 (+18.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -2.0 (+1.0) | 130.4 (+18.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -1.5 (+1.5) | 130.0 (+19.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2022 | HPU 84 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 26, 2022 | HPU 88 – 77 HAMP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | HAMP 68 – 64 HPU |
| Feb 8, 2021 | HAMP 76 – 71 HPU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | HPU 72 – 58 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#220) | -4.8 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#162) | -1.12 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#181) | -1.48 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#210) | 0.482 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.