Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +130 HPU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +14 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | HAMP -1.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -0.3 (-14.3) | 138.1 (-8.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -0.6 (-14.6) | 139.7 (-9.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -0.9 (-13.1) | 140.6 (-10.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -1.1 (-12.9) | 139.7 (-9.7) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | HPU 76 – 73 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2022 | HPU 84 – 77 HAMP |
| Feb 26, 2022 | HPU 88 – 77 HAMP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | HAMP 68 – 64 HPU |
| Feb 8, 2021 | HAMP 76 – 71 HPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#277) | -5.7 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#279) | -1.64 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#298) | -2.02 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#284) | 0.433 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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