Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -360 HAMP +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -8.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+31.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -7.6 (+3.4) | 138.3 (+26.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -7.8 (+3.2) | 136.3 (+28.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -7.4 (+3.6) | 136.0 (+29.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -7.3 (+3.7) | 138.3 (+26.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | HPU 76 – 73 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2022 | HPU 84 – 77 HAMP |
| Jan 22, 2022 | HAMP 68 – 64 HPU |
| Feb 8, 2021 | HAMP 76 – 71 HPU |
| Feb 7, 2021 | HPU 72 – 58 HAMP |
Game Analysis
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