Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +2 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -1.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+56.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -2.0 (+4.0) | 139.9 (+54.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -1.7 (+3.7) | 137.4 (+56.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -1.8 (+3.8) | 139.3 (+54.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -2.2 (+4.2) | 140.3 (+53.7) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTA 85 – 70 LR |
| Jan 23, 2021 | UTA 66 – 61 LR |
| Jan 23, 2021 | LR 66 – 59 UTA |
| Jan 2, 2021 | LR 75 – 62 UTA |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LR 102 – 93 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-19 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 7-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#317) | -3.8 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#259) | -0.21 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#261) | -0.14 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#262) | 0.486 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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