Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTA +110 LR +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LR -0.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -1.3 (+3.7) | 145.0 (-18.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -0.7 (+4.3) | 141.5 (-14.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -1.0 (+4.0) | 145.7 (-18.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -0.7 (+4.3) | 146.1 (-19.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTA 85 – 70 LR |
| Jan 22, 2022 | LR 98 – 96 UTA |
| Jan 23, 2021 | LR 66 – 59 UTA |
| Jan 2, 2021 | LR 75 – 62 UTA |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LR 102 – 93 UTA |
Game Analysis
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