Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | LR -144 UTA +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LR -6.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -6.9 (+6.1) | 152.0 (-15.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -6.2 (+6.8) | 152.7 (-15.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -7.2 (+5.8) | 157.1 (-20.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -7.5 (+5.5) | 153.9 (-16.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTA 85 – 70 LR |
| Jan 22, 2022 | LR 98 – 96 UTA |
| Jan 23, 2021 | UTA 66 – 61 LR |
| Jan 23, 2021 | LR 66 – 59 UTA |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LR 102 – 93 UTA |
Game Analysis
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