Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +15 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -10.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -8.7 (+6.3) | 138.5 (+16.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -7.7 (+7.3) | 137.4 (+17.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -8.0 (+7.0) | 136.6 (+18.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -8.8 (+6.2) | 138.8 (+16.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2022 | LR 98 – 96 UTA |
| Jan 23, 2021 | UTA 66 – 61 LR |
| Jan 23, 2021 | LR 66 – 59 UTA |
| Jan 2, 2021 | LR 75 – 62 UTA |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LR 102 – 93 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 9-19 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 3-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#229) | -10.7 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#202) | -1.01 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#193) | -1.40 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#205) | 0.446 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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