Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UTA +100 LR +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +7 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -0.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -1.3 (-8.3) | 146.2 (-21.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -0.7 (-7.7) | 141.7 (-16.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -1.2 (-8.2) | 146.0 (-21.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -0.6 (-7.6) | 146.6 (-21.6) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2022 | UTA 85 – 70 LR |
| Jan 22, 2022 | LR 98 – 96 UTA |
| Jan 23, 2021 | UTA 66 – 61 LR |
| Jan 2, 2021 | LR 75 – 62 UTA |
| Jan 1, 2021 | LR 102 – 93 UTA |
Game Analysis
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