I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Jack Stephens Center · January 1, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread LR -2.0 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money LR -130 / UTA +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total LR win
Actual LR +9 195 Won
Massey LR -5.3 (+3.7) — —
Massey Totals — 144.8 (+50.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LR -5.8 (+3.2) 146.7 (+48.3) 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LR -5.5 (+3.5) 151.5 (+43.5) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LR -6.6 (+2.4) 152.7 (+42.3) 77% ✓
Baseline ML LR -5.7 (+3.3) 148.6 (+46.4) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2022 UTA 85 – 70 LR
Jan 22, 2022 LR 98 – 96 UTA
Jan 23, 2021 UTA 66 – 61 LR
Jan 23, 2021 LR 66 – 59 UTA
Jan 2, 2021 LR 75 – 62 UTA

Game Analysis

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