Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -1.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -1.9 (-2.1) | 141.7 (+22.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -3.4 (-0.6) | 141.6 (+22.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -2.7 (-1.3) | 143.0 (+21.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -2.8 (-1.2) | 141.4 (+22.6) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PRIN 82 – 61 DART |
| Jan 19, 2026 | DART 71 – 69 PRIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DART 76 – 61 PRIN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | PRIN 81 – 80 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 23-7 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Home | 5-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#232) | 1.4 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#290) | 1.27 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#268) | 1.25 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#297) | 0.532 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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