Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -6.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -3.6 (+2.4) | 126.6 (+1.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -3.5 (+2.5) | 130.3 (-2.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -3.5 (+2.5) | 131.0 (-3.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -3.8 (+2.2) | 127.5 (+0.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#205) | -4.2 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#269) | -0.77 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#279) | -1.40 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#227) | 0.452 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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