Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UML -175 UNH +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UML -3.8 (+18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -2.8 (+19.2) | 146.7 (-12.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -3.6 (+18.4) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -2.8 (+19.2) | 145.0 (-11.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -2.9 (+19.1) | 145.7 (-11.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UML 82 – 75 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-14 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#322) | -12.0 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#322) | -2.23 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#319) | -2.82 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#262) | 0.416 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.