Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | UNH -115 UML -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -1.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -1.5 (-8.5) | 147.0 (+10.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -0.2 (-7.2) | 147.5 (+9.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -1.7 (-8.7) | 146.7 (+10.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.1 (-8.1) | 145.9 (+11.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-10 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#154) | 3.5 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#120) | 0.70 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#144) | 1.03 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#92) | 0.506 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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