Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | UNH +450 UML -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UML -8.6 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -6.8 (+7.8) | 148.8 (+10.2) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -6.8 (+7.8) | 149.3 (+9.7) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UML -7.1 (+8.1) | 150.8 (+8.2) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -7.7 (+8.7) | 150.0 (+9.0) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UML 82 – 75 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 6-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -16.9 (#358) | -5.1 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#348) | -0.59 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#351) | -0.56 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#348) | 0.486 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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