Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -175 UML +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -5.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -4.7 (+0.3) | 140.0 (-13.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -3.0 (+2.0) | 142.1 (-15.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -4.6 (+0.4) | 139.8 (-12.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -4.7 (+0.3) | 140.0 (-13.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UML 82 – 75 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-16 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#305) | -11.5 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#329) | -1.95 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#324) | -2.44 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#289) | 0.437 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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