Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -3.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -5.5 (-3.5) | 141.2 (-15.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -3.7 (-1.7) | 143.0 (-17.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -3.4 (-1.4) | 143.4 (-17.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -3.5 (-1.5) | 144.3 (-18.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | WIN 103 – 85 GWEB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WIN 88 – 77 GWEB |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIN 96 – 93 GWEB |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GWEB 89 – 83 WIN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GWEB 65 – 64 WIN |
Game Analysis
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