Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Moore Gymnasium (FL) · January 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread JKST -4.0 Home covered
O/U 123.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total BCU win
Actual BCU +5 105 Won
Massey JKST -2.8 (+7.8) — —
Massey Totals — 115.0 (-10.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 37% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 35% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JKST -2.1 (+7.1) 123.7 (-18.7) 45% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML JKST -2.9 (+7.9) 123.0 (-18.0) 38% ✗
Baseline ML JKST -2.4 (+7.4) 123.4 (-18.4) 45% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JKST -2.0 (+7.0) 126.4 (-21.4) 44% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2026 JKST 91 – 86 BCU
Jan 24, 2026 BCU 85 – 48 JKST
Mar 15, 2025 JKST 71 – 50 BCU
Feb 18, 2025 JKST 84 – 71 BCU
Jan 25, 2025 JKST 86 – 81 BCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BCU JKST
Overall 9-21 11-19
Conference 7-11 9-9
Home 4-6 6-3
Away 4-13 5-15
Neutral 1-2 0-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 62.5 60.9
Avg Pts Against 70.5 65.4
Massey -11.3 (#329) -4.9 (#260)
Bradley-Terry -2.29 (#332) -1.19 (#276)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.88 (#330) -1.62 (#283)
RPI 0.385 (#337) 0.451 (#256)
Shooting & Four Factors BCU JKST
FG% 39.2% 38.6%
3PT% 28.7% 29.3%
REB / G 33.2 32.9
OREB / G 9.9 10.3
AST / TO 0.77 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.6% 43.1%
TOV% 19.0% 20.0%
ORB% 26.5% 28.1%
FT Rate 17.1% 14.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 20.1%
DRB% 71.9% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 30.2%

Game Analysis

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