Betting Lines
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | COR +105 HARV -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +15 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | COR -2.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -0.3 (+14.7) | 151.7 (-14.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -1.6 (+13.4) | 154.0 (-17.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -1.0 (+14.0) | 153.7 (-16.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -0.5 (+14.5) | 154.7 (-17.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#210) | -0.5 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#187) | -0.33 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#188) | -0.46 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#197) | 0.471 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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