Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | HARV +230 COR -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +2 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | COR -5.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -4.6 (+6.6) | 150.1 (-2.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -5.4 (+7.4) | 148.5 (-0.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -4.9 (+6.9) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -5.1 (+7.1) | 149.9 (-1.9) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
| Feb 4, 2024 | COR 89 – 76 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#282) | 1.9 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#268) | 0.27 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#266) | 0.36 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#237) | 0.527 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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