Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | COR -500 HARV +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | COR -11.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -10.2 (+2.8) | 152.8 (-15.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -10.7 (+2.3) | 150.6 (-13.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -10.8 (+2.2) | 151.0 (-14.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -11.0 (+2.0) | 151.5 (-14.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 4, 2024 | COR 89 – 76 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#96) | -2.4 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#48) | 0.31 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#54) | 0.35 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#39) | 0.515 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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